In this post, I want to just take a moment to highlight an important aspect to trading football matches, which is how to maximise the value that we are getting.
If you follow me with my 5K Challenge you will know that I usually enter my trades by dripping my stakes after around 10 or 15 minutes.
The timing of my entry and the size stakes I use will very much depend on how the game is progressing and whether goals look likely.
Continue reading “How To Maximise Value When Football Trading”
In a recent interview, cult football trading expert ‘Psychoff‘ was quoted as saying something along the lines of:-
“Value can’t be defined. Value is a feeling.”
This statement really resonates with me, as I believe that many traders put too much emphasis on stats and not enough emphasis on our feelings and intuition.
Continue reading “How Do You Define Value In Football Trading?”
Over the past year or so (yes, that long), I’ve been testing another lay the draw system that you may have previously seen me refer to on the website as ‘LTD3’.
During this time I traded 116 selections and had a win rate of 85.34% (99 wins).
When testing I was trading the selections similar to the LTD2 system in that I would trade out when one team took a two goal lead. However, if the game went beyond 65’, I would let it run and come out when the next goal was scored for a profit or the game ended goalless, which would result in a loss of around 2.5 pts.
This is a question I am asked from time to time so thought I would write a short post on the subject.
Firstly, what do we mean by insurance?
So, when we lay the draw or do any other trade we have a liability. Our liability is our maximum potential loss.
So if we lay the draw for for £10 at 3.5 our liability would be £25. 10 x 3.5 – 10 = 25.
By using insurance, we are willing to risk a little more liability in order to minimise our overall risk and try to avoid a bigger loss than we may otherwise experience.
My recent rare spell of one point losses got me thinking and prompted me to write a short post about losing, our attitudes to it and how we can stop it eating into our confidence.
If you are new to trading, it’s easy to panic after a loss or two. Some will chase losses and blow their trading banks. Or if they just can’t stomach losing, give up all together. After all, that’s what real losers do isn’t it?
So how do you deal with losing trades or heaven forbid, losing runs?
At this moment in time, the minimum bet stake you can place on the Betfair Exchange is £2.
Sometimes though, you may want to place a trade for less than £2. For example, if you are testing a system or maybe you are new to football trading and want to test the water.
Whatever the reason, below I will show you how you can trade on Betfair for less than the £2 minimum stake.
The method is similar whether you are backing or laying. You can click on any of the images below to see a larger version.
The first step is to obviously open the market in which you wish to trade. In my case it is the Correct Score market in the Roma v Napoli game.
Continue reading “How To Place A Bet On Betfair Exchange For Less Than £2”
One of the first steps when using any football trading system is to decide on which leagues you will be trading.
Not all leagues are created equal and whether you utilise the overs markets, lay the draw or both teams to score, the one thing you are going to need is plenty of goals.
Personally, I use lay the draw a lot and have a number of different variations such as LTD1 and LTD2, but regardless as to which I am using the fact remains that I will need goals so that I have as many opportunities as possible to trade out for a profit.
But which leagues are the best?
Continue reading “What Are The Best Leagues For Football Trading?”
For anyone interested in football trading or Matched Betting I would fully recommend you watch this video below from Veritasium.
I first saw the video about a year ago just after starting my Matched Betting journey and found that it summed up matched betting perfectly, but also applies to football trading and how we should think about each trade that we place.
